According to ACAB, in 2016, 7 units of commercial vehicles were sold on the official sales market, including 5 trucks, 218 light commercial vehicles and 2 buses. Compared to last year’s sales volume (15 units), the decline was 969%, while the rate of decline increased (in 54 it was 2015%).
The main reason for the decline in sales was the fall in effective demand due to inflation and the depreciation of the tenge. The economy was adversely affected by a significant decline in prices for oil and metals on the world market, a drop in demand for Kazakhstan's export products due to the recession and slowdown in the economies of Russia, China and the Eurozone. At the same time, it is necessary to take into account the increase in the cost of a car due to the introduction of a fee for initial registration. However, due to the stabilization of the economy, a certain recovery was observed already in the fourth quarter of 2016.
The negative market dynamics are especially noticeable in comparison with similar periods of previous years. Obviously, 2016 was the most difficult year for the commercial vehicle market since the beginning of the crisis.
Sales 2016
The leaders in the commercial vehicle market are GAZ (33%), KAMAZ (18%) and UAZ (15%). The market share of the latter two, together with Hyundai Com Trans Kazakhstan, has noticeably increased due to last year’s leader LADA (from 38% to 12%).
Significantly ahead of others in terms of sales growth are Hyundai Com Trans Kazakhstan (almost 2 times), Hyundai and JAC (against the background of low volumes in 2015, an increase of more than 2 times). Large participants are increasing sales volumes of KAMAZ (by 42%), sales of GAZ (2 times), UAZ and, especially, LADA (almost 7 times) have fallen significantly.
It is worth noting that Hyundai Com Trans (plant in Almaty) exported to the Russian Federation in 2016.
At the same time, there is a significant difference in regional sales.
The leader of the commercial equipment market is the Almaty region.
According to the registration database, 51 trucks over ten years old are registered in the region, 457 are new (under 1 years old), and 031 are between 3-5 years old.
The South Kazakhstan region ranks second in the number of commercial vehicle registrations: 39 trucks over ten years old, 460 between 5-906 years old and 3 new vehicles.
Almaty is in third place with 21 cars older than ten years, 954 cars aged 9-955 years, 3 new trucks.
Western Kazakhstan has the least number of commercial vehicles - only 589 new cars, 2 trucks aged 175-3 years and 10 old trucks. There are even five times fewer old cars in the West Kazakhstan region than in the Almaty region.
As for brands, the most popular among all cars are GAZ, KAMAZ, ZIL, which account for almost 70% of the market.
And among new commercial vehicles, KAMAZ, SHACMAN and GAZ are popular, occupying 52,3% of the market.
According to the forecasts of ACAB analysts, based on the correlation to GDP growth, sales of commercial equipment may recover to pre-crisis levels by 2019 (if economic stability and the projected dynamics of GDP growth are maintained).
This year, sales growth is expected in certain market segments, but in general the market will recover slowly, since a number of objective factors (changes in the second-tier sector, a decrease in business activity, etc.) affect the willingness of businesses to invest in upgrading equipment.
A more detailed forecast for the commercial equipment market will be presented in August of this year.
Important information for understanding the market
Registrations cover all transactions on the market, including:
Primary official sales;
Primary sales by gray dealers (cars imported by them in previous months)
Sales on the used car market (that is, resale by individuals of used cars already driving in the Republic of Kazakhstan);
Import of cars from the countries of the Customs Union and from third countries, both by individuals and gray dealers;
Making changes to the technical passport - installing gas equipment, other changes in the technical characteristics of the car;
Replacement of SRTS and GRNZ in connection with the movement of the car to another area, due to loss;
Temporary import from other countries;
Entry into inheritance, acceptance under a gift or lease agreement.
Vehicle registrations include the following types of vehicles: passenger cars (including light commercial vehicles weighing up to 3,5 tons), minibuses, buses (with more than 16 seats, not including the driver's seat), trucks (weighing over 3,5 tons ), trailers and semi-trailers.
For your information:
The Association of Kazakhstan Automotive Business is a non-profit organization founded in 2010 as a voluntary association of official dealers, importers, and distributors of the automobile market of the Republic of Kazakhstan. ACAB members provide information on sales in an exclusive and official manner; information on registrations is provided by the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan in an official manner.
The main goal of the association is to form a transparent automobile market in the Republic of Kazakhstan, help ACAB members obtain information, prepare reports and reviews, and also help members of the Association and government services solve problems that arise in the car market of the Republic.
Additional information, interview requests, comments:
pr@akab.kz, 77072120123 @yandex.ru, +7 707 212 01 23 (Astana) Information Policy Advisor Assol Mirmanova
j.krongart@akab.kz, julia.krongart@gmail.com, +7 701 206 07 28 (Almaty) Presidential Advisor Yulia Krongart