Electric vehicle market: trends and dynamics

As of July 1, 2025, there were approximately 15,8 fully electric vehicles in operation in the country—almost ten times more than at the beginning of 2023. The fleet is extremely young: approximately 90,5% (as a share of the total) are less than three years old, another 9,1% are between three and ten years old, and only 0,4% are older than ten years. The geography of the fleet shows a clear concentration: the city of Almaty accounts for over half of the fleet, followed by Astana ( 11,9% ) and the Almaty region ( 5,6% ). These areas have a well-developed infrastructure of electric charging stations compared to other regions, which ensures convenience and accessibility for electric vehicle owners. The dominant brands are Chinese ZEEKR (share - 27,3%), BYD (18,7%) and HONGQI (10%); The leading models are ZEEKR 001, HONGQI E-QM5 and ZEEKR X.

Registration dynamics show that 2023 marked the peak year for initial electric vehicle registrations, reaching 4,400 units . Demand was driven by several factors: the introduction of a preferential tariff on the import of electric vehicles into Kazakhstan, established by the Council of the Eurasian Economic Commission (the program has been extended until December 31, 2025); an expanded supply of more affordable electric vehicle models; improved charging infrastructure; and rising fuel costs. In 2024, initial registrations declined to 2,700 units , a 38,5 % decrease from the previous year. A reversal was observed in 2025: 2,700 new electric vehicles were registered in the first seven months alone . The share of sales through official dealerships amounted to almost 37% in 2024 and approximately 26% in the first seven months of 2025. Brands such as BYD have officially entered the market since 2025, ZEEKR since the end of 2023, and others. Despite the growth in official sales, the market remains largely "gray."

Most new registrations are for young vehicles: the share of electric vehicles in the "up to 3 years old" category for January-July 2025 was 99%, indicating an influx of practically new vehicles. Geographically, the market is concentrated in large cities, with Almaty remaining the key hub, accounting for the bulk of both the vehicle fleet and primary demand. Chinese brands are making the largest contribution to the market: their share of new registrations for the first seven months of 2025 reached 88%. This is reflected in the list of leaders by brand and model. The top three included BYD (964 units), HONGQI (702 units), and ZEEKR (409 units). Among models, the HONGQI E-QM5 holds the top spot, accounting for 700 new registrations.

Hybrid vehicles are growing just as rapidly as electric vehicles. Initial registrations increased from 1,700 units in 2023 to 5,700 in 2024 ( +232% ), and have already reached 6,400 vehicles in the first seven months of 2025. The segment leaders in 2025 are Chinese brands Lixiang, BYD, and DEEPAL, which are actively increasing their market share thanks to aggressive pricing policies and a wide range of models. However, traditional Japanese manufacturers Toyota and Lexus, whose reputation for reliability and fuel efficiency continues to drive demand, are also holding firm alongside them. The Lixiang L7 model ( 815 units ) led the initial registrations in the first seven months of 2025. For buyers, hybrids are becoming a kind of "golden mean": they allow for reduced fuel consumption and lower emissions, while maintaining independence from the development of charging infrastructure.

Date: 5.09.2025